Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.033538 0.036744 0.039999 0.043544 0.047290 0.051124 0.055337
2025-08-17 0.027781 0.032398 0.037270 0.042767 0.048772 0.055109 0.062277
2025-08-24 0.023502 0.029045 0.035102 0.042153 0.050076 0.058650 0.068574
2025-08-31 0.021263 0.027634 0.034807 0.043375 0.053224 0.064093 0.076897
2025-09-07 0.019261 0.026246 0.034332 0.044216 0.055808 0.068819 0.084376
2025-09-14 0.017443 0.024876 0.033710 0.044740 0.057911 0.072921 0.091102
2025-09-21 0.015710 0.023438 0.032860 0.044867 0.059448 0.076295 0.096943
2025-09-28 0.014758 0.022886 0.033013 0.046136 0.062294 0.081170 0.104522
2025-10-05 0.013100 0.021276 0.031723 0.045527 0.062789 0.083205 0.108724
2025-10-12 0.011923 0.020206 0.031038 0.045599 0.064055 0.086118 0.113939
2025-10-19 0.011080 0.019523 0.030797 0.046185 0.065921 0.089733 0.119984
2025-10-26 0.010499 0.019161 0.030944 0.047243 0.068362 0.094043 0.126877
2025-11-02 0.008950 0.017295 0.028990 0.045509 0.067254 0.094014 0.128560
2025-11-09 0.007980 0.016212 0.028049 0.045065 0.067757 0.095958 0.132648
2025-11-16 0.007098 0.015189 0.027129 0.044597 0.068191 0.097791 0.136590
2025-11-23 0.006817 0.015102 0.027541 0.045947 0.071010 0.102643 0.144301
2025-11-30 0.006439 0.014823 0.027649 0.046860 0.073248 0.106765 0.151122
2025-12-07 0.006001 0.014405 0.027522 0.047423 0.075009 0.110278 0.157192
2025-12-14 0.005497 0.013824 0.027115 0.047564 0.076185 0.113034 0.162312
2025-12-21 0.005307 0.013790 0.027536 0.048887 0.078967 0.117873 0.170088
2025-12-28 0.004701 0.012934 0.026634 0.048256 0.079056 0.119203 0.173401
2026-01-04 0.004295 0.012414 0.026231 0.048332 0.080097 0.121764 0.178283
2026-01-11 0.004026 0.012136 0.026198 0.048941 0.081869 0.125284 0.184399